High Desert Market Conditions Report

Victor Valley & surrounding areas — last updated September 2, 2026

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What's My Home Worth?

A real number from real High Desert sales — not a national guess. See the actual homes that set your price.

The High Desert market is holding remarkably steady. The median home in the Victor Valley is closing right around $445,000 — within about a percent of where it sat a year ago — and homes are still selling for essentially their full asking price. Sales volume is running a touch ahead of last year, so demand has not softened even as prices flattened out.

Inventory and buyer demand are close to balanced, which is why prices have moved sideways rather than in either direction. Sellers who price at the market are getting offers in a matter of weeks; homes priced above it are sitting, and that shows up clearly in the price-band numbers further down this page — homes in the $300–500k range are moving several times faster than the luxury end.

Mortgage rates remain the swing factor. The 30-year fixed is just under 7% and has drifted up slightly over the past year rather than falling as many expected. Barring a surprise from the Fed, we don't expect the market to take any dramatic turns for the rest of the year — steady prices, steady demand, and a slow-building inventory picture heading into the fall.

Mortgage Rates This Week

30-Year Fixed
6.66%
▲ +0.01 vs last week
5.98%6.69%
52-week range · week of Aug 27, 2026
15-Year Fixed
5.98%
▲ +0.03 vs last week
5.35%6.04%
52-week range · week of Aug 27, 2026
30-Year Fixed15-Year Fixed
2%4%6%8%202120222023202420252026

Source: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey® via FRED®, weekly national averages.

What would that cost per month?

From the High Desert median sold price and this week's 30-year rate. Change any figure to fit your own situation.

Mortgage Calculator
%

Original Asking Price vs Sold Price

Homes selling per month +14.8% more homes closing each month than 12 months ago
Year to date ▲ +4.7% median sold, since Jan ’26
Projected, 12 months out$449,500 +1% vs today

The projection is a straight-line trend through 12 completed months of median sold price, carried twelve months forward. It is a trend line, not a forecast model — it assumes conditions hold, and it does not price in rate moves or a change in the pace of sales. The pace figure above is shown separately so a slowing market stays visible rather than buried inside a single number.

Median original list price and median sold price for every home closed each month across the High Desert — the last 12 full months plus the current month to date.

Original asking price, medianSold price, median
$200k$300k$400k$500kSep ’25NovJan ’26MarMayJulSep

Covers sales that reported a closing price. The vertical axis starts at $200k rather than at zero, so the gap between asking and sold price stays readable without making ordinary month-to-month movement look dramatic; lighter bars are the current month to date.

High Desert Market Breakdown by City

Victor Valley & surrounding areas — computed nightly from the local MLS feed.

Market Action
Balanced market
Index 26 of 100
Inventory
1,475
active listings
Buyer Demand
387
homes into escrow, last 30 days
0253510026
Balanced market
0–25 buyer’s26–35 balanced36+ seller’s
Median sold price, last 30 days$440,000 ▲ 1.1% vs a year ago
Homes sold, last 30 days363 ▼ -5% vs a year ago
Market time, valley average114 daysat the current pace of sales
Sale-to-list, last 90 days100.0%of the current asking price

Our Market Action Index measures the share of all sale inventory currently under contract. It follows the familiar 0–100 scale but is our own calculation, not the proprietary Altos Research index.

CityActive
inventory
Demand
(last 30 days)
Market time
(days supply)
Odds of
selling
Median list price
(90 days)
Median closed
(90 days)
Typical sale
vs asking
Adelanto893576 days71%$382,450$387,500 $0
Apple Valley33585118 days74%$436,950$433,500 $0
Helendale607257 days60%$359,999$355,000 $0
Hesperia28274114 days66%$469,210$470,000 $0
Lucerne Valley4510135 days53%$330,000$300,000 −$4,000
Oak Hills428158 days54%$625,000$605,000 $0
Phelan7814167 days78%$419,000$420,000 $0
Pinon Hills5310159 days60%$450,000$450,000 $0
Victorville42213693 days68%$434,900$435,000 $0
Wrightwood688255 days44%$435,000$436,825 −$1,500
Spring Valley Lake
ZIP 92395 — subset of Victorville
1344491 days73%$419,000$427,500 $0
All Victor Valley1,475387114 days68%$439,925$440,000 $0

Market Time by Price Range

How long today’s inventory would take to sell at the current pace, by price band.

$0 – $300k
109
days
75%odds of selling
98 active · 27 into escrow
$300k – $400k
82
days
75%odds of selling
272 active · 99 into escrow
$400k – $500k
90
days
67%odds of selling
536 active · 178 into escrow
$500k – $600k
175
days
53%odds of selling
304 active · 52 into escrow
$600k+
256
days
53%odds of selling
265 active · 31 into escrow
Luxury market ($600k+)265 active listings44 pending sales31 into escrow in the last 30 daysmedian asking $699k

How these numbers are calculated

  • Local MLS listing data for Adelanto, Apple Valley, Helendale, Hesperia, Lucerne Valley, Oak Hills, Phelan, Pinon Hills, Spring Valley Lake, Victorville and Wrightwood, recomputed nightly. Residential resale only — rentals, land, income and commercial listings are excluded.
  • Demand / into escrow — listings that entered escrow in the last 30 days and are still under contract.
  • Market time — active inventory ÷ demand (30 days) × 30.
  • Odds of selling — demand ÷ (active + demand). This is our own calculation from our own data; it is not the proprietary Altos figure printed in earlier editions and is not directly comparable to it.
  • Median list price, median closed price, sale-to-list and typical sale vs asking all describe one set of homes: those that closed in the last 90 days and reported a closing price (about three quarters of sales do). Typical sale vs asking is the median of each sale’s own difference between closing and asking price, which is the honest answer to “do homes sell over or under asking” — it will not equal the difference between the two median columns beside it, and can carry the opposite sign.
  • Month-over-month changes compare against our stored snapshot from about a month earlier; they appear once the archive is deep enough, and are omitted rather than estimated.
  • Spring Valley Lake — reported as ZIP 92395, a subset of Victorville.
  • Mortgage rates — Freddie Mac PMMS weekly national averages via FRED.
  • Odds of selling — published by Reports on Housing (May 2026), shown as reported rather than calculated here. It is a sell-through rate: of the listings that leave the market, the share that leave by selling rather than expiring or being withdrawn. Our own feed does not carry expired or withdrawn listings, so we do not compute this figure ourselves.